Aug. 10th, 2008

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/worldnews/article-1043185/The-Pipeline-War-Russian-bear-goes-Wests-jugular.html

http://apnews.myway.com/article/20080810/D92FDSLG0.html

So the FSU (Former Soviet Union - apparently looking to get rid of the former), run by Tsar Putin, is getting more and more nasty.

It seems they've taken a sly old tactic and used it as their excuse for their attack on Georgia.

Russia has made the residents of South Ossetia Russian citizens and is now attacking Georgia because it says it has to protect its citizens.

Nice!

And just in case you thought Georgia might be able to hold off any FSU aggression...

Georgia’s war with Russia is a David and Goliath battle that, military experts say, the Black Sea state has no chance of winning.

The Georgians are outnumbered and outgunned in every department. Russia has about 697,000 troops, while Georgia has only 19,500 full-time regulars.

And with Russia’s 1,200 combat aircraft confronting Georgia’s seven outmoded support planes, and 6,000 tanks against 100 ageing machines, there is no contest.

Matthew Clements, Eurasia editor for Jane’s Defence journal, said last night: ‘The Georgian military cannot withstand a full Russian assault.

'The Russians have total air superiority and their coordinated operation gives the Georgians no chance of resisting.’



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Georgia is a US ally, pro western and looking to join NATO.

It'll be interesting to see if we let this become one of the FSU's first big reaquisitions.

Putin's FSU has pulled the same citizenship tactic with Abkhazia, another Georgian break-away region. I expect the same kind of things to happen there.
(Abkhazia is northwestern Georgia and South Ossetia is southeast)

Aside from the fact that Georgia was formerly a part of the SU, it has a pipeline that can supply oil from the area to the west. That's a very big part of this as well.

Of course - Georgia isn't a saint in this. They've done enough crap to make some think the FSU is within its rights. (http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2008/aug/09/georgia.russia1)
To me it all comes down to what Putin intends - big picture-wise. And yes I know Dmitry Medvedev is the Russian president. But we're talking political reality here.
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Russian forces were moving to take total control of South Ossetia last night as Georgia withdrew troops amid intense diplomatic efforts for a ceasefire to end the three-day conflict in which 2,000 people have reportedly been killed and up to 22,000 displaced. Seizing the opening offered by President Mikheil Saakashvili's doomed military incursion last week, Moscow also insisted the Georgian leader should resign, according to senior US diplomats.

Russian aircraft bombed Tbilisi's international airport hours before the French foreign minister, Bernard Kouchner, was due to land on an EU mission, the Georgian interior ministry said. Last night it was reported that Russia sank a Georgian ship after coming under attack.

Russia and the US clashed at the UN security council - meeting for the fourth time in four days to discuss the crisis - over charges that Moscow wanted "regime change" in Georgia.

Zalid Khalilzad, the US ambassador to the UN, asked his Russian counterpart Vitali Churkin: "Is the goal of the Russian Federation to change the leadership of Georgia?" Churkin replied: "There are leaders who become an obstacle. Sometimes those leaders need to contemplate how useful they have become to their people."

Meanwhile, the tide of refugees fleeing ruined towns and villages showed no sign of ending last night as Russian forces pushed forward after Saakashvili pulled his bloodied troops out of the territory.



http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2008/aug/11/georgia.russia3

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So now the FSU is telling the Georgian President to resign.

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